Match Info

NCAA

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Utah State Aggies		UNLV Rebels

	1	2
	1.23	4
	1.25	3.65
	1.27	3.95
	1.26	3.59	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.26	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	3.74 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah State Aggies
74.8%

UNLV Rebels
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

UNLV Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNLV Rebels than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Utah State Aggies - UNLV Rebels Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utah State (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:75

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utah State won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Utah State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Utah State is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utah State won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1479:1399. (average 74:70).

Including home matches between the teams, Utah State won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 838:743. (average 76.2:67.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah State Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.03.26	Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos	94:90 ✺
03.03.26	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	92:65 ✺
28.02.26	Utah State Aggies - Grand Canyon Antelopes	74:69 ✺
25.02.26	San Diego State Aztecs - Utah State Aggies	89:72 ✺
21.02.26	Nevada Wolf Pack - Utah State Aggies	80:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- UNLV Rebels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.03.26	UNLV Rebels - Wyoming Cowboys	73:70 ✺
06.03.26	San Diego State Aztecs - UNLV Rebels	89:86 ✺
03.03.26	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	92:65 ✺
28.02.26	UNLV Rebels - Nevada Wolf Pack	85:83 OT ✺
25.02.26	Grand Canyon Antelopes - UNLV Rebels	80:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	92:65
20.01.26	Utah State Aggies - UNLV Rebels	76:86
13.03.25	Utah State Aggies - UNLV Rebels	70:58
29.01.25	Utah State Aggies - UNLV Rebels	76:71
15.01.25	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	65:62
13.01.24	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	86:87
01.03.23	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	66:91

Utah State Aggies - UNLV Rebels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide