Match Info
NBADate: 11 February 2026, WednesdayLocation: Smoothie King Center (New Orleans, LA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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New Orleans Pelicans |
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Miami Heat |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 231.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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New Orleans Pelicans
52.6% | Miami Heat
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Orleans Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Pelicans than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+3.3%)New Orleans Pelicans - Miami Heat Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. New Orleans will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Miami will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Orleans: 44.9% – 88.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5, OT - Miami (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New Orleans Pelicans will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 4 - 80%). Miami (votes: 1 - 20%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 117:115 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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41.  Bey S.
| 0.  Fontecchio S.
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1. Williamson Z.
| 13. Adebayo B.
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22. Queen D.
| 7. Ware K.
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2. Jones H.
| 15. Gardner M.
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25. Murphy T.
| 45. Mitchell D.
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| Substitutes |
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0. Fears J.
| 50.  Goldin V.
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24. Hawkins J.
| 25.  Jakucionis K.
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6. Jordan D.
| 11.  Jaquez Jr. J.
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55. Looney K.
| 16. Johnson K.
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17.  Matkovic K.
| 5.  Jovic N.
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11. McGowens B.
| 12. Smith D.
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21.  Missi Y.
| 22.  Wiggins A.
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3. Poole J.
| 17. Young J.
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| Coaches |
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. Borrego J.
| . Spoelstra E.
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Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.New Orleans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, New Orleans has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.There will not play in New Orleans: Murray D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)There will not play in Miami: Herro T.
(Ribs Injury)
Larsson P.
(Elbow Injury)
Powell N.
(Back Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 2050:2228. (average 102.5:111.4).Including home matches between the teams, New Orleans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 794:904. (average 99.3:113).
Outrights of NBA for now
Miami Heat: 3.04% New Orleans Pelicans: 0.25%
Last Results with these Odds
New Orleans Pelicans - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 52.65%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Miami Heat - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 47.35%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 04.01.26 | Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans | 125:106 | | 11.04.25 | New Orleans Pelicans - Miami Heat | 104:153 | | 01.01.25 | Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans | 119:108 | | 13.10.24 | Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans | 101:99 | | 22.03.24 | Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans | 88:111 | | 23.02.24 | New Orleans Pelicans - Miami Heat | 95:106 | | 22.01.23 | Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans | 100:96 |
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