Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 5

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Spark Arena (Auckland) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	09:00	DAZN
Finland	10:00	DAZN
Sweden	09:00	DAZN


	New Zealand		Philippines

	1	2
	1.15	4.75	Watch
	1.18	4.50
	1.18	4.5
	1.13	4.74
	1.21	4.03	Watch
	1.12	4.65
	1.18	4.6	Watch
	1.17	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.2)	4.58 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Zealand
79.7%

Philippines
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Philippines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

New Zealand - Philippines Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Britt T. Canterbury Rams	4. Abarrientos R. Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
51. Ili S. Melbourne United	15. Fajardo J. San Miguel Beermen
8. Mennenga S. Xinjiang	24. Ramos D. Hokkaido
20. Ngatai J. Tauranga Whai	18. Rosario T. Blackwater Bossing
93. Waardenburg S. Indios de Mayaguez	33. Tamayo C. LG Sakers
Substitutes
2. Davison C. Wellington Saints	19. Baltazar J.
6. Murray T. Tauranga Whai	32. Brownlee J. Meralco Bolts
22. Rasmussen K. Bay Hawks	1. De Liano J.
16. Smith-Milner T. Nelson Giants	34. Edu A. J.
1. Te Rangi R. Tauranga Whai	3. Newsome C. Meralco Bolts
33. Timmins S. Southland Sharks	20. Phillips M.
00. Webster T. Manawatu Jets	28. Quiambao K.
Coaches
. Flavell J.	. Cone T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 4.

In this match, New Zealand is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 714:593. (average 89.3:74.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Zealand basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Guam - New Zealand	67:99 ✺
26.02.26	Philippines - New Zealand	66:69 ✺
01.12.25	New Zealand - Australia	77:79 ✺
28.11.25	Australia - New Zealand	84:79 ✺
Asia Cup Basketball
17.08.25	Iran - New Zealand	79:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- Philippines basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Philippines - Australia	66:93 ✺
26.02.26	Philippines - New Zealand	66:69 ✺
Southeast Asian Games Basketball
19.12.25	Philippines - Thailand	70:64 ✺
18.12.25	Philippines - Indonesia	71:68 ✺
14.12.25	Philippines - Vietnam	78:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
26.02.26	Philippines - New Zealand	66:69
Asia Cup Basketball
07.08.25	Philippines - New Zealand	86:94
22.02.25	New Zealand - Philippines	87:70
21.11.24	Philippines - New Zealand	93:89
17.07.22	Philippines - New Zealand	75:92
World Championship Basketball
30.06.22	Philippines - New Zealand	60:106
27.02.22	New Zealand - Philippines	88:63

New Zealand - Philippines: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide