Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Niagara Purple Eagles		Fairfield Stags

	1	2
	2.4	1.61
	2.5	1.55
	2.33	1.55
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.23	1.64
	2.45	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)	1.59 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 137.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niagara Purple Eagles
40.4%

Fairfield Stags
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niagara Purple Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Fairfield Stags has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara Purple Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fairfield Stags than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Niagara Purple Eagles - Fairfield Stags Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:71

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 4.

Recent form of Niagara has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fairfield has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Niagara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Niagara has had a series of away games.

Fairfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1428:1449. (average 71.4:72.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 834:778. (average 75.8:70.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niagara Purple Eagles basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Sacred Heart Pioneers	64:61 ✺
15.12.25	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Niagara Purple Eagles	84:58 ✺
13.12.25	Morgan State Bears - Niagara Purple Eagles	81:73 ✺
07.12.25	St. Peters Peacocks - Niagara Purple Eagles	71:43 ✺
05.12.25	Siena Saints - Niagara Purple Eagles	83:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL
- Fairfield Stags basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Fairfield Stags	85:81 ✺
29.12.25	Fairfield Stags - St. Peters Peacocks	66:70 ✺
18.12.25	Central Connecticut State Blue Devils - Fairfield Stags	70:84 ✺
14.12.25	Fairfield Stags - Monmouth Hawks	73:65 ✺
07.12.25	Merrimack Warriors - Fairfield Stags	74:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
16.01.25	Fairfield Stags - Niagara Purple Eagles	70:66
16.02.24	Fairfield Stags - Niagara Purple Eagles	63:65
12.01.24	Niagara Purple Eagles - Fairfield Stags	96:72
24.02.23	Niagara Purple Eagles - Fairfield Stags	76:68
06.01.23	Fairfield Stags - Niagara Purple Eagles	69:77 OT (63:63)
12.02.22	Fairfield Stags - Niagara Purple Eagles	73:53
05.12.21	Niagara Purple Eagles - Fairfield Stags	71:81

Niagara Purple Eagles - Fairfield Stags: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide