Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks		Sacramento State Hornets

	1	2
	1.72	2.05
	1.7	2.08
	1.75	2.13
	1.73	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.73	2.1
	1.76	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	2.08 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
54.6%

Sacramento State Hornets
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sacramento State Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Arizona Lumberjacks than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento State Hornets than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Sacramento State Hornets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:78

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Arizona won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Sacramento State has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northern Arizona won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1339:1279. (average 67:64).

Including home matches between the teams, Northern Arizona won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 677:621. (average 67.7:62.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Arizona Lumberjacks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Portland State Vikings	68:77 ✺
07.02.26	Weber State Wildcats - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	72:53 ✺
05.02.26	Idaho State Bengals - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	73:79 ✺
31.01.26	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Idaho Vandals	62:79 ✺
29.01.26	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Eastern Washington Eagles	92:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWLW
- Sacramento State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Northern Colorado Bears - Sacramento State Hornets	95:79 ✺
07.02.26	Sacramento State Hornets - Portland State Vikings	73:74 ✺
02.02.26	Sacramento State Hornets - Weber State Wildcats	104:90 ✺
31.01.26	Sacramento State Hornets - Montana Grizzlies	86:79 ✺
29.01.26	Sacramento State Hornets - Montana State Bobcats	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.01.26	Sacramento State Hornets - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	83:69
15.02.25	Sacramento State Hornets - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	61:65
16.01.25	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Sacramento State Hornets	77:53
15.02.24	Sacramento State Hornets - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	58:73
20.01.24	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Sacramento State Hornets	70:61
09.02.23	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Sacramento State Hornets	77:55
14.01.23	Sacramento State Hornets - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	59:56

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Sacramento State Hornets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide