Match Info

NCAA

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday


	Sacramento State Hornets		Montana State Bobcats

	1	2
	2.7	1.49
	2.55	1.47
	2.66	1.51
	2.36	1.54	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.62	1.45
	2.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.24)	1.5 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento State Hornets
36.7%

Montana State Bobcats
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento State Hornets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacramento State Hornets's performance.

Montana State Bobcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montana State Bobcats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento State Hornets than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana State Bobcats than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Sacramento State Hornets - Montana State Bobcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:80

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento State won 1.

Sacramento State has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montana State is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Montana State is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1342:1437. (average 67.1:71.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 556:558. (average 69.5:69.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	Eastern Washington Eagles - Sacramento State Hornets	75:67 ✺
22.01.26	Idaho Vandals - Sacramento State Hornets	86:76 ✺
17.01.26	Sacramento State Hornets - Northern Colorado Bears	93:89 OT ✺
15.01.26	Sacramento State Hornets - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	83:69 ✺
10.01.26	Portland State Vikings - Sacramento State Hornets	96:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWL
- Montana State Bobcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	Montana State Bobcats - Weber State Wildcats	91:88 ✺
22.01.26	Montana State Bobcats - Idaho State Bengals	74:62 ✺
19.01.26	Northern Colorado Bears - Montana State Bobcats	68:73 ✺
17.01.26	Montana State Bobcats - Montana Grizzlies	76:67 ✺
10.01.26	Idaho Vandals - Montana State Bobcats	92:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.03.25	Sacramento State Hornets - Montana State Bobcats	60:87
30.01.25	Montana State Bobcats - Sacramento State Hornets	70:58
12.03.24	Montana State Bobcats - Sacramento State Hornets	74:71
24.02.24	Montana State Bobcats - Sacramento State Hornets	63:66
25.01.24	Sacramento State Hornets - Montana State Bobcats	62:70
23.02.23	Montana State Bobcats - Sacramento State Hornets	60:56
28.01.23	Sacramento State Hornets - Montana State Bobcats	65:72

Sacramento State Hornets - Montana State Bobcats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide