Match Info

NBL1 East Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Norths Bears		Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.50	2.25
	1.49	2.48
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.46	2.40
	1.50	2.29	Watch
	1.49	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	2.33 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norths Bears
60.7%

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norths Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norths Bears than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norths Bears that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manly Warringah Sea Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Norths Bears - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:74

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norths won 2.

Norths has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Manly Warringah has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Norths may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Norths will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Norths won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 749:741. (average 68.1:67.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Norths won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 412:430. (average 68.7:71.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norths Bears Women
Australian NBL1 East Women
25.07.26	Norths Bears - Basketball Australia Centre of Excellence	95:54
18.07.26	Sutherland Sharks - Norths Bears	62:85 ✺
11.07.26	Inner West Bulls - Norths Bears	65:103
10.07.26	Norths Bears - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	77:66 ✺
04.07.26	Canberra Nationals - Norths Bears	77:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW
- Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Basketball Women
Australian NBL1 East Women
01.08.26	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons	90:78 ✺
25.07.26	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Bankstown Bruins	82:91 ✺
18.07.26	Inner West Bulls - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	50:112 ✺
10.07.26	Norths Bears - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	77:66 ✺
04.07.26	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Sutherland Sharks	92:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East Women
10.07.26	Norths Bears - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	77:66
28.06.25	Norths Bears - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	76:93
05.04.25	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Norths Bears	68:66
20.07.24	Norths Bears - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	71:68
12.07.24	Norths Bears - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	68:73 OT
25.05.24	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Norths Bears	52:68
12.08.23	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Norths Bears	56:71

Norths Bears - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide