Match Info

NCAA

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Northwestern State Demons		UTRGV Vaqueros

	1	2
	2.3	1.65
	2.22	1.6
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.63
	2.14	1.64
	2.25	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northwestern State Demons
42.4%

UTRGV Vaqueros
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northwestern State Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

UTRGV Vaqueros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northwestern State Demons than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UTRGV Vaqueros than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Northwestern State Demons - UTRGV Vaqueros Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Northwestern State Demons will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:74

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Preview

Northwestern State has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UTRGV is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

UTRGV might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Northwestern State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 79:63.

Including home match between the teams, Northwestern State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 79:63.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northwestern State Demons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Northwestern State Demons - Texas A&M-CC Islanders	79:78 ✺
05.01.26	Nicholls State Colonels - Northwestern State Demons	74:72 ✺
03.01.26	Northwestern State Demons - New Orleans Privateers	74:68 ✺
31.12.25	Northwestern State Demons - Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks	64:74 ✺
29.12.25	Northwestern State Demons - Lamar Cardinals	61:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL
- University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	East Texas A&M Lions - UTRGV Vaqueros	77:69 ✺
05.01.26	UTRGV Vaqueros - Incarnate Word Cardinals	80:67 ✺
03.01.26	UTRGV Vaqueros - Texas A&M-CC Islanders	59:63 ✺
31.12.25	UTRGV Vaqueros - Nicholls State Colonels	69:71 ✺
29.12.25	UTRGV Vaqueros - New Orleans Privateers	69:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
03.02.25	Northwestern State Demons - UTRGV Vaqueros	79:63

Northwestern State Demons - UTRGV Vaqueros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide