The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olympiacos Piraeus 52.6%
Fenerbahçe 47.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.8%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.6%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olympiacos Piraeus's form might have worsened.
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Olympiacos Piraeus will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 3 - 75%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
0. Miller-McIntyre C.
11. Forest T.
33. Milutinov N.
8. Horton-Tucker T.
16. Papanikolaou K.
12. Key B.
14. Vezenkov A.
5. Sanli S.
3. Ward T.
31. Shields S.
Substitutes
4. Bourneles G.
2. Baldwin W.
42. Dunston B.
1. Bingham M.
45. Hall D.
21. Clyburn W.
88. Jones T.
0. Larkin S.
34. Joseph C.
4. Melli N.
24. Ndiaye M.
43. Sargiunas I.
21. Netzipoglou O.
30. Silva C.
Coaches
. Bartzokas G.
. Jasikevicius S.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos won 4.
Olympiacos arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Fenerbahçe have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fenerbahçe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olympiacos has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1620:1557 (averaging 81:77.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Olympiacos against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 1078:997 goals (averaging 82.9:76.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
4
Olympiacos
8
6
2
706:661
7
Fenerbahce
9
6
3
719:689
Outrights of Euroleague for now
Fenerbahce: 10.69%
Last Results with these Odds
Olympiacos Piraeus - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.85%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.