The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid 67.2%
Fenerbahçe 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.6%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.
Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fenerbahçe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.9%
0%
21.1%
Real Madrid - Fenerbahçe Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +5, OT - Fenerbahçe (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid will win
(15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 50%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:83
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Feliz A.
2. Baldwin W.
20. Jantunen M.
12. Key B.
12. Maledon T.
0. Larkin S.
9. Procida G.
5. Sanli S.
22. Tavares E.
31. Shields S.
Substitutes
6. Abalde A.
1. Bingham M.
7. Campazzo F.
21. Clyburn W.
30. Jones D.
11. Forest T.
23. Llull S.
8. Horton-Tucker T.
3. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
4. Melli N.
8. Okeke C.
43. Sargiunas I.
4. Pradilla J.
30. Silva C.
Coaches
. Martinez Sanchez P.
. Jasikevicius S.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 2.
Real Madrid is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Fenerbahçe have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Real Madrid is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1636:1509 (averaging 81.8:75.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Madrid against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 837:776 goals (averaging 83.7:77.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
6
Real Madrid
9
6
3
866:792
7
Fenerbahce
9
6
3
719:689
Outrights of Euroleague for now
Fenerbahce: 10.69% Real Madrid: 9.31%
Last Results with these Odds
Real Madrid - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 59.6%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.