Match Info

Basket League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Peace and Friendship Stadium (Piraeus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Panathinaikos

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.32	3.10
	1.35	3.38
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3.10
	1.29	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	3.2 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
70.4%

Panathinaikos
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympiacos Piraeus's performance.

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panathinaikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympiacos Piraeus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Fournier E.	22. Grant J.
33. Milutinov N.	11. Hayes N.
16. Papanikolaou K. (C)	26. Lessort M.
14. Vezenkov A.	25. Nunn K.
0. Walkup T.	6. Osman C.
Substitutes
88. Jones T.	5. Kalaitzakis P.
34. Joseph C.	24. Kouzeloglou I.
5. Larentzakis G.	44. Mitoglou K. (C)
21. Netzipoglou O.	20. Samontourov A.
25. Peters A.	0. Shorts T.
3. Ward T.	27. Toliopoulos V.
Coaches
. Bartzokas G.	. Ataman E.

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Olympiacos is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1674:1648. (average 83.7:82.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Olympiacos won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 848:812. (average 84.8:81.2).

Outrights of Greek Basket League A1 for now

Panathinaikos: 42.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
13	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	103:74	0
14	Olympiacos	1	1	0	78:68	0

Last Results with these Odds

Olympiacos Piraeus - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.27%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympiacos Piraeus BC
Greek Basket League A1
10.06.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	93:86 AET ✺
08.06.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	102:92 ✺
05.06.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	68:58 ✺
03.06.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	82:76 ✺
30.05.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	68:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Panathinaikos BC
Greek Basket League A1
10.06.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	93:86 AET ✺
08.06.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	102:92 ✺
05.06.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	68:58 ✺
03.06.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	82:76 ✺
30.05.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	94:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
10.06.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	93:86 AET
08.06.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	102:92
05.06.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	68:58
03.06.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	82:76
30.03.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	94:101
Euroleague
06.03.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	86:80
Greek Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	68:79

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