Match Info

Euroleague - Round 6

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Telekom Center Athens (Athens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Thepenier H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	21:15	Max Sport 2
Croatia	20:15	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	20:15	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Germany	20:15	Magenta Sport
Greece	21:15	Nova Sports 4
Israel	21:15	5 SPORT Israel
Serbia	20:15	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	20:15	SportKlub 3
International	18:15	EuroLeague TV


	Panathinaikos		Hapoel Tel Aviv

	1	2
	1.17	4.50	Watch
	1.19	4.50
	1.23	4.20
	1.22	4.59
	1.25	4.27	Watch
	1.20	4.50
	1.26	4.13	Watch
	1.22	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.4)	4.39 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
78.3%

Hapoel Tel Aviv
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panathinaikos's performance.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Tel Aviv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panathinaikos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Tel Aviv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Panathinaikos - Hapoel Tel Aviv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Yabusele G.	13. Satoransky T.
72. Mantzoukas L.	16. LeDay Z.
44. Mitoglou K.	25. Oturu D.
0. Kalaitzakis P.	22. Micic V.
22. Grant J.	3. Bryant E.
Substitutes
7. Badio B.	2. Blakeney A.
93. Fall M.	51. Caboclo B.
3. Francisco S.	7. Coffey A.
11. Hayes N.	1. German E.
41. Hernangomez J.	21. Odiase T.
26. Lessort M.	0. Toppin O.
6. Moraitis D.	12. Wainright I.
Coaches
. Obradovic Z.	. Itoudis D.

Preview

Panathinaikos has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Hapoel Tel Aviv shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Panathinaikos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Panathinaikos is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 181:174 (averaging 90.5:87 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Panathinaikos against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 93:82 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	L
1	Panathinaikos	8	7	1	693:592
3	Hapoel Tel Aviv	8	6	2	748:689

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Panathinaikos: 21.33% Hapoel Tel Aviv: 6.25%

Last Results with these Odds

Panathinaikos - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.67%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos BC
Euroleague
13.10.26	Partizan Belgrade - Panathinaikos	55:72 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
10.10.26	Promitheas Patras - Panathinaikos	59:84 ✺
Euroleague
08.10.26	Panathinaikos - Fenerbahçe	92:74 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.10.26	Panathinaikos - Vikos	103:74 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	Panathinaikos - Maccabi Tel Aviv	90:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Hapoel Tel Aviv BC
Euroleague
14.10.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beşiktaş	100:82 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
11.10.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Tel Aviv	82:95 ✺
Euroleague
08.10.26	Valencia - Hapoel Tel Aviv	93:82 ✺
Israeli League Cup
03.10.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Ironi Nes Ziona	79:76 ✺
Euroleague
01.10.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	102:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
02.04.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Panathinaikos	92:88
18.12.25	Panathinaikos - Hapoel Tel Aviv	93:82

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