The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ostioneros de Guaymas 58.7%
Pioneros de Los Mochis 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ostioneros de Guaymas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Pioneros de Los Mochis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostioneros de Guaymas than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ostioneros de Guaymas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pioneros de Los Mochis than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pioneros de Los Mochis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ostioneros de Guaymas - Pioneros de Los Mochis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:96
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
7. Agbonkpolo M.
6. Evans J.
9. Isom Roberts T.
7. Griffin E.
4. Jennings D.
11. Moultrie A.
3. Powell I. (C)
10. Smith R.
1. Spears A.
0. Wilson-Frame J. (C)
Substitutes
15. Bediako J.
55. Allen J.
11. Calvillo O.
23. Butler M.
12. Davis-McMurrin G.
14. Martinez I.
5. Gonzalez D.
24. Pearson R.
13. Ivey J.
21. Stone J.
17. Lopez C.
18. Rivera B.
Coaches
. McCarty W.
. Garcia J.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ostioneros won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Ostioneros might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ostioneros won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1875:1842. (average 93.8:92.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ostioneros won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1075:1003. (average 97.7:91.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Pioneros de Los Mochis - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.09%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.