Match Info

NBL

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadium Southland (Invercargill)


	Southland Sharks		Otago Nuggets

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.68	Watch
	1.92	1.75
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.97	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.09)	1.94 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southland Sharks
51.4%

Otago Nuggets
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southland Sharks's form might have worsened.

Otago Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otago Nuggets's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Southland Sharks - Otago Nuggets Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Southland Sharks will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Otago Nuggets will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Otago Nuggets: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Southland Sharks (votes: 1 - 50%). Otago Nuggets (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Southland Sharks (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Southland Sharks (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Otago Nuggets (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bertinshaw D.	24. Henn M. D.
14. Cooper T.	13. Louis A.
1. Jones R.	18. McKenzie Z.
16. Stodart M.	12. Rusbatch E. (C)
33. Timmins S. (C)	5. Tuach B.
Substitutes
18. Helu J.	9. Bezett H.
24. Jack W.	22. Boomer L.
22. Lee C.	4. Chisholm O.
6. Ramage J.	43. Hunt T.
15. Snow R.	8. Miller-Jose I.
10. Webster Q.	10. Smiler C.
9. Wynyard T.	1. Thata-Paese T.
Coaches
. Yim J.	. Sparrow J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southland Sharks won 4.

In this match, Southland Sharks is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Southland Sharks won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 912:834. (average 91.2:83.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Southland Sharks won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 495:422. (average 99:84.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southland Sharks
New Zealand NBL
19.07.25	Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks	88:83 ✺
11.07.25	Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks	82:101 ✺
10.07.25	Southland Sharks - Auckland Tuatara	91:75 ✺
03.07.25	Nelson Giants - Southland Sharks	87:91 ✺
29.06.25	Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai	98:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW
- Otago Nuggets
New Zealand NBL
05.07.25	Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets	95:101 ✺
04.07.25	Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets	93:83 ✺
27.06.25	Otago Nuggets - Tauranga Whai	82:88 ✺
19.06.25	Otago Nuggets - Canterbury Rams	59:113 ✺
13.06.25	Nelson Giants - Otago Nuggets	94:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
18.05.25	Southland Sharks - Otago Nuggets	91:80
14.03.25	Otago Nuggets - Southland Sharks	70:98
25.05.24	Southland Sharks - Otago Nuggets	99:81
29.03.24	Otago Nuggets - Southland Sharks	86:79 OT
05.06.23	Southland Sharks - Otago Nuggets	116:79
16.04.23	Otago Nuggets - Southland Sharks	76:68
27.07.22	Otago Nuggets - Southland Sharks	102:87

Southland Sharks - Otago Nuggets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide