Match Info
NBLDate: 27 June 2026, SaturdayLocation: TSB Stadium (New Plymouth)
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 |
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Taranaki Airs |
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Otago Nuggets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.60 |
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2.20 |
|
 |
1.57 |
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2.25 |
Watch |
 |
1.78 |
|
1.98 |
|
 |
1.57 |
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2.25 |
Watch |
 |
1.75 |
|
1.96 |
|
 |
1.67 |
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2.08 |
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 |
1.66 |
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2.10 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.68) |
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2.12 ↑
(1.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 177.25
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Taranaki Airs
56.1% | Otago Nuggets
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Taranaki Airs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Otago Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranaki Airs than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taranaki Airs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago Nuggets than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otago Nuggets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:88 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
0.  Cook A.
| 13.  Louis A.
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10. Green X.
| 6.  Moller C.
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3.  Jones M.
| 12. Rusbatch E. (C)
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13. Moors J.
| 1. Thata-Paese T.
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1. Stroud B.
| 5. Tuach B.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
9. Adam Z.
| 7. Bardsley M.
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32. Bailey Q. (C)
| 4. Chisholm O.
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8. Cooper J.
| 43. Hunt T.
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42. Hill N.
| 18. McKenzie Z.
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2. Samuel T.
| 8. Miller-Jose I.
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11. Tuuta R.
| 10. Smiler C.
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5. Vea L.
| 24. Tipene P.
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| Coaches |
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. White J.
| . Sparrow J.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 4.Recent performances by Taranaki Airs have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Otago Nuggets's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Taranaki Airs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1221:1124. (average 93.9:86.5).Including home matches between the teams, Taranaki Airs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 677:606. (average 96.7:86.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 20.06.26 | Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs | 91:87 | | 04.07.25 | Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets | 93:83 | | 07.06.25 | Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs | 78:92 | | 12.06.24 | Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs | 88:101 | | 31.05.24 | Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets | 105:95 | | 15.07.23 | Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs | 95:100 | | 22.04.23 | Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets | 79:97 |
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