Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: P.A.O.K. Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	PAOK		Bilbao Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.91
	1.49	2.43	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	2.65 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
64.4%

Bilbao Basket
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Bilbao Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bilbao Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

PAOK - Bilbao Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Bilbao will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 50%). Bilbao (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Beverley P.	3. Frey H.
2. Melvin C.	11. Hilliard D.
26. Moore B.	32. Hlinason T.
18. Persidis N.	2. Normantas M.
5. Tyree B.	18. Petrasek L.
Substitutes
0. Allen T.	13. Bagayoko B.
33. Dimsa T.	22. Font A. (C)
25. Fillios G.	7. Jaworski J.
20. Iatridis K.	10. Krampelj M.
6. Koniaris A.	12. Mintegui A.
11. Omoruyi C.	19. Pantzar M. J.
13. Zaras T. (C)	20. Sylla A.
Coaches
. Boutskos P.	. Ponsarnau J.

Preview

First leg.

PAOK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bilbao has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

PAOK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 309:337. (average 77.3:84.3).

Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 171:170. (average 85.5:85).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
18.04.26	Iraklis - PAOK	72:76 ✺
15.04.26	PAOK - Aris	88:77 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
08.04.26	UCAM Murcia - PAOK	89:85 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.04.26	PAOK - Karditsas	93:90 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
01.04.26	PAOK - UCAM Murcia	79:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
18.04.26	Bilbao Basket - Basquet Manresa	80:84 ✺
12.04.26	Barcelona - Bilbao Basket	90:61 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
08.04.26	Bilbao Basket - Falco Szombathely	95:88 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.04.26	Bilbao Basket - Unicaja Malaga	90:74 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
01.04.26	Falco Szombathely - Bilbao Basket	81:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
11.02.26	PAOK - Bilbao Basket	87:88
13.01.26	Bilbao Basket - PAOK	95:73
23.04.25	PAOK - Bilbao Basket	84:82
16.04.25	Bilbao Basket - PAOK	72:65

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