Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: P.A.O.K. Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	PAOK		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.03	1.81
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.7	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.7)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
48.7%

UCAM Murcia
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PAOK's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

PAOK - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Persidis N.	13. Falk W.
2. Melvin C.	30. Martin K.
26. Moore B.	0. Cacok D.
21. Beverley P.	12. Radebaugh J. (C)
5. Tyree B.	5. DeJulius D.
Substitutes
0. Allen T.	15. Cate E.
33. Dimsa T.	21. Diagne M.
25. Fillios G.	31. Ennis D.
20. Iatridis K.	1. Forrest M.
6. Koniaris A.	16. Lopez R.
11. Omoruyi C.	99. Nakic T.
13. Zaras T. (C)	2. Raieste S.
Coaches
. Boutskos P.	. Alonso S.

Preview

First leg.

PAOK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Murcia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Murcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
28.03.26	PAOK - Promitheas Patras	100:70 ✺
25.03.26	PAOK - Mykonos	100:87 ✺
21.03.26	Peristeri BC - PAOK	75:70 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
18.03.26	Peristeri BC - PAOK	88:80 ✺
11.03.26	PAOK - Peristeri BC	101:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
28.03.26	UCAM Murcia - Bilbao Basket	100:81 ✺
21.03.26	Basquet Manresa - UCAM Murcia	86:90 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
18.03.26	UCAM Murcia - Reggiana	77:63 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.03.26	UCAM Murcia - Gran Canaria 2014	87:76 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
11.03.26	Reggiana - UCAM Murcia	84:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

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