Match Info

LBP - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Ivan de Bedout (Medellín)


	Paisas de Medellín		Caimanes del Llano

	1	2
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.4	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	2.69 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paisas de Medellín
65.6%

Caimanes del Llano
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paisas de Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Caimanes del Llano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paisas de Medellín than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paisas de Medellín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caimanes del Llano than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caimanes del Llano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paisas de Medellín - Caimanes del Llano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Bailey D.	24. Britos A.
3. Miles M.	23. Brown T.
21. Millan A.	0. Carter M.
4. Ojeda D. (C)	7. Munoz O. (C)
50. Weathers M.	14. Valencia S.
Substitutes
88. Benitez L.	15. Carmona A.
12. Hunt S.	2. Hincapie S.
1. Jackson M.	22. Pena A.
8. Lozano Toro J. D.	5. Salcedo J.
10. Mosquera E.
14. Rios J.
7. Sanabria S.
Coaches
. Nardini J.	. Ortiz J.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paisas won 4.

Paisas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Caimanes del Llano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Caimanes del Llano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paisas has had a series of home games.

Paisas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paisas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1024:886. (average 93.1:80.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Paisas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 654:553. (average 93.4:79).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paisas de Medellín
Colombian LBP Basketball
21.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Caimanes del Llano	80:75 ✺
09.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Cimarrones del Chocó	86:79 ✺
08.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Cimarrones del Chocó	116:89 ✺
05.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	99:82 ✺
04.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	89:93 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWL
- Caimanes del Llano
Colombian LBP Basketball
21.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Caimanes del Llano	80:75 ✺
17.05.26	Sabios de Manizales - Caimanes del Llano	56:79 ✺
15.05.26	Caimanes del Llano - Sabios de Manizales	99:91 ✺
14.05.26	Caimanes del Llano - Sabios de Manizales	107:70 ✺
11.05.26	Caribbean Storm Islands - Caimanes del Llano	92:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian LBP Basketball
21.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Caimanes del Llano	80:75
29.04.26	Caimanes del Llano - Paisas de Medellín	90:80
28.04.26	Caimanes del Llano - Paisas de Medellín	81:92
Champions League Americas Basketball
11.02.26	Paisas de Medellín - Caimanes del Llano	98:75
03.02.26	Caimanes del Llano - Paisas de Medellín	91:107
27.01.26	Paisas de Medellín - Caimanes del Llano	109:62
Colombian LBP Basketball
11.10.25	Paisas de Medellín - Caimanes del Llano	93:86

Upcoming Matches