The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Tel Aviv 37.8%
Real Madrid 62.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Tel Aviv's form might have worsened.
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.8%
0%
72.2%
Hapoel Tel Aviv - Real Madrid Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 51.5% โ 92.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 1 - 50%). Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 185.5, OT - over (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:89
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Bryant E.
7. Campazzo F.
51. Caboclo B.
20. Jantunen M.
16. LeDay Z.
3. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
22. Micic V.
12. Maledon T.
13. Satoransky T.
22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
2. Blakeney A.
6. Abalde A.
5. Carrington K.
14. Deck G.
1. German E.
24. Feliz A.
21. Odiase T.
30. Jones D.
25. Oturu D.
8. Okeke C.
10. Timor B.
4. Pradilla J.
12. Wainright I.
1. Smith N.
Coaches
. Itoudis D.
. Martinez Sanchez P.
Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - Arena 8888 Sofia.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1.
Hapoel Tel Aviv is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Real Madrid has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hapoel Tel Aviv could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Real Madrid has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Tel Aviv has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 468:511 (averaging 78:85.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Tel Aviv against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 228:231 goals (averaging 76:77 per game).
Outrights of Euroleague for now
Real Madrid: 8.19% Hapoel Tel Aviv: 5.34%
Standings
Pl
W
L
11
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4
2
2
349:357
14
Real Madrid
4
1
3
345:350
Last Results with these Odds
Hapoel Tel Aviv - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech-republic
Finland
Germany
Greece
Serbia
Slovenia
Ukraine
World
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Bryant E. 
Campazzo F. 
Caboclo B. 
Jantunen M. 
LeDay Z. 
Luwawu-Cabarrot T. 
Micic V. 
Satoransky T. 
Tavares E. 
Abalde A. 
Carrington K. 
Feliz A. 
Odiase T. 
Wainright I. 
Itoudis D. 
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