Match Info

Euroleague - Round 14

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Partizan Belgrade		Bayern München

	1	2
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.44
	1.63	2.41	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.66	2.31	Watch
	1.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.4)	2.34 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizan Belgrade
59.2%

Bayern München
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizan Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Partizan Belgrade's form might have worsened.

Bayern München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern München's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan Belgrade than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partizan Belgrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern München, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	0%	22.6%

Partizan Belgrade - Bayern München Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Bayern München will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partizan: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Partizan (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2, OT - Partizan (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Partizan Belgrade will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Partizan (votes: 25 - 92.6%). Bayern München (votes: 2 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Marinkovic V.	22. Mike I.
24. Fernando B.	11. Lucic V.
11. Pokusevski A.	7. Voigtmann J.
12. Brown S.	26. Dinwiddie S.
2. Milton S.	13. Obst A.
Substitutes
17. Bonga I.	1. Da Silva O.
33. Calathes N.	32. Gabriel W.
88. Jones T.	5. Giffey N.
19. Lakic A.	21. Hollatz J.
5. Osetkowski D.	10. Jessup J.
22. Parker J.	8. Kratzer L.
4. Washington D.	4. Rathan-Mayes X.
Coaches
. Obradovic Z.	. Herbert G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Bayern München has had a series of away games.

Partizan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 718:713. (average 79.8:79.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Partizan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 317:289. (average 79.3:72.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partizan Belgrade Basketball
Euroleague
25.11.25	Panathinaikos - Partizan Belgrade	91:69 ✺
Adriatic League
23.11.25	Partizan Belgrade - Studentski Centar	94:72 ✺
Euroleague
21.11.25	Partizan Belgrade - Fenerbahçe	87:99 ✺
14.11.25	ASVEL Basket - Partizan Belgrade	88:87 ✺
11.11.25	Partizan Belgrade - AS Monaco Basket	78:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW
- Bayern München Basketball
Euroleague
25.11.25	Valencia - Bayern München	90:67 ✺
German BBL
23.11.25	Ratiopharm Ulm - Bayern München	77:81 OT ✺
Euroleague
21.11.25	Baskonia - Bayern München	95:73 ✺
German Cup Basketball
16.11.25	Trier - Bayern München	80:96 ✺
Euroleague
14.11.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Bayern München	74:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
27.03.25	Bayern München - Partizan Belgrade	89:74
15.10.24	Partizan Belgrade - Bayern München	86:78
08.02.24	Partizan Belgrade - Bayern München	78:79
15.11.23	Bayern München - Partizan Belgrade	94:85
Club Friendly Basketball
24.09.23	Bayern München - Partizan Belgrade	99:95
Euroleague
09.02.23	Bayern München - Partizan Belgrade	71:82
29.12.22	Partizan Belgrade - Bayern München	83:77

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