Match Info
NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr (Sao Paulo)
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Paulistano |
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Pinheiros |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 160.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Paulistano
41.9% | Pinheiros
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paulistano's form might have worsened.Pinheiros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pinheiros's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paulistano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pinheiros than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pinheiros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Paulistano - Pinheiros Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  da Silva Brandao V.
| 7. Barbosa Y.
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44.  Hunter K.
| 55. de Lima P.
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10. Inacio L.
| 0. Gregate F.
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14. Pereira J.
| 33. Santos A.
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23. Siewert L.
| 1.  Sloan D.
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| Substitutes |
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12. Caio Mathias
| 26. Betinho
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41. Demetrio L.
| 17. Boff B.
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11. Macedo
| 9. Buffat J. M.
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35. Neto S.
| 4. dos Santos E.
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18. Pietro
| 15. Maciel M.
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8. Seixas H.
| 2. Pacheco C.
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17.  Tovar E.
| 11. Penha C.
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| Coaches |
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. Ferracciu D.
| . de Conti G.
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Preview
Pinheiros leads series 2-0. Third leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 1.Paulistano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Pinheiros is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Paulistano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match. We predict that Pinheiros will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1543:1481. (average 77.2:74.1).Including home matches between the teams, Paulistano won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 690:632. (average 76.7:70.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian NBB | | | 07.05.26 | Paulistano - Pinheiros | 68:76 | | 04.05.26 | Pinheiros - Paulistano | 101:92 OT | | 19.02.26 | Pinheiros - Paulistano | 80:68 | | Brazilian Super 8 Basketball | | | 25.01.26 | Pinheiros - Paulistano | 114:108 OT | | Brazilian NBB | | | 06.11.25 | Paulistano - Pinheiros | 81:76 | | 05.02.25 | Pinheiros - Paulistano | 61:69 | | 14.10.24 | Paulistano - Pinheiros | 80:62 |
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