Match Info
Liga ADate: 19 May 2025, MondayLocation: Polideportivo Islas Malvinas (Mar del Plata)
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Peñarol de Mar del Plata |
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Riachuelo de La Rioja |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 160.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Peñarol de Mar del Plata 60.6% | Riachuelo de La Rioja 39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Riachuelo de La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riachuelo de La Rioja than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Riachuelo de La Rioja Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Riachuelo will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 44.9% – 88.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Riachuelo (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:87 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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24. Acuna R.
| 12. Aguerre F.
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22. Andujar L.
| 21. Becton R.
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9. Gonzalez L.
| 7. Forestier V.
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50. Thomas M.
| 16. Krayem O.
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1. Thornton A.
| 8. Vieta F.
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| Substitutes |
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11. Chapero M.
| 22. Barco J.
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15. Chiaraviglio N.
| 10. Corbalan J.
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0. Fernandez V.
| 3. Corso M.
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38. Kramer K.
| 20. Diaz F.
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35. Marin A.
| 2. Fernandez J.
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12. Pineda D.
| 11. Luchi M.
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2. Tolosa F.
| 24. Trocha-Morelos T.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Riachuelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Riachuelo has had a series of home games. Peñarol will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 568:590. (average 81.1:84.3).Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 257:242. (average 85.7:80.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian LNB | | | 21.01.25 | Riachuelo de La Rioja - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 83:71 | | 05.04.24 | Riachuelo de La Rioja - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 93:78 | | 07.12.23 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Riachuelo de La Rioja | 87:74 | | 04.02.23 | Riachuelo de La Rioja - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 92:87 | | 03.12.22 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Riachuelo de La Rioja | 78:88 | | 05.01.22 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Riachuelo de La Rioja | 92:80 | | 12.11.21 | Riachuelo de La Rioja - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 80:75 |
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