Match Info

Liga A

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Polideportivo Islas Malvinas (Mar del Plata)


	Peñarol de Mar del Plata		Oberá TC

	1	2
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.51	2.45	Watch
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)	2.38 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
61%

Oberá TC
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Oberá TC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oberá TC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Oberá TC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Basualdo I.	11. Brocal A.
73. Carreras X.	17. Draper D.
13. Cordoba G.	6. Quiroga N.
18. Perez A.	10. Sansimoni B.
9. Vazquez F.	41. Vorhees W.
Substitutes
35. Acuna R.	22. Andujar L.
15. Chiaraviglio N.	7. Azpilicueta A.
4. Guerra L.	8. Barrales S.
10. Hoover N.	13. Costa A.
33. Rossi G.	0. Ianguas P.
1. Thornton A.	47. Niebles E.
2. Tolosa F.	4. Reizner T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1.

Peñarol has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Oberá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oberá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Oberá has had a series of away games.

Peñarol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 737:842. (average 73.7:84.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 357:374. (average 71.4:74.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
19.11.25	Unión Santa Fe - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	63:82 ✺
17.11.25	Atlético Platense - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:89 ✺
12.11.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Martín de Corrientes	75:72 ✺
06.11.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	89:78 ✺
19.10.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - La Unión Formosa	76:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW
- Oberá TC
Argentinian LNB
20.11.25	Atlético Platense - Oberá TC	82:78 ✺
14.11.25	Oberá TC - Ciclista Olímpico	86:62 ✺
03.11.25	Instituto Córdoba - Oberá TC	70:68 ✺
01.11.25	Independiente de Oliva - Oberá TC	83:84 ✺
30.10.25	Atenas - Oberá TC	65:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
04.05.25	Oberá TC - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	86:71
14.10.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Oberá TC	78:97
11.04.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Oberá TC	74:57
09.10.23	Oberá TC - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	105:71
21.03.23	Oberá TC - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	90:81
18.12.22	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Oberá TC	63:66
09.03.22	Oberá TC - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	83:71

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