Match Info
WNBADate: 9 July 2026, ThursdayLocation: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Usa | CBS |
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 |
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 |
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Phoenix Mercury |
|
Indiana Fever |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.01 |
|
1.76 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
|
1.80 |
|
 |
1.93 |
|
1.89 |
|
 |
2.07 |
|
1.85 |
|
 |
1.93 |
|
1.83 |
Watch |
 |
2.04 |
|
1.78 |
|
 |
2.03 |
|
1.83 |
|
 |
2.02 |
|
1.81 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.67) |
|
1.82 ↑
(1.41) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Phoenix Mercury
47.5% | Indiana Fever
52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Mercury's performance.Indiana Fever has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Indiana Fever might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-12.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Mercury that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Fever than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Indiana Fever could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Phoenix Mercury will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Phoenix Mercury will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
11.  Ayayi V.
| 25.  Billings M.
|
24.  Bonner D.
| 7. Boston A.
|
2. Copper K.
| 52. Harris T.
|
10. Held A.
| 10. Hull L.
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25. Thomas A.
| 0. Mitchell K.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Tibbetts N.
| . White S.
|
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Indiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1777:1664. (average 88.9:83.2).Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 791:683. (average 87.9:75.9).
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Outrights of WNBA for now
Indiana Fever W: 4.28% Phoenix Mercury W: 0.64%
Last Results with these Odds
Phoenix Mercury - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| WNBA | | | 24.06.26 | Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury | 109:111 | | 22.06.26 | Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury | 86:77 | | 02.09.25 | Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever | 85:79 | | 07.08.25 | Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever | 95:60 | | 30.07.25 | Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury | 107:101 | | 16.08.24 | Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury | 98:89 | | 12.07.24 | Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury | 95:86 |
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