Match Info
WNBADate: 2 July 2026, ThursdayLocation: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Usa | CBS |
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 |
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Phoenix Mercury |
|
Seattle Storm |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.51 |
|
2.45 |
 Watch |
 |
1.50 |
|
2.65 |
|
 |
1.56 |
|
2.48 |
|
 |
1.57 |
|
2.54 |
|
 |
1.55 |
|
2.39 |
Watch |
 |
1.55 |
|
2.45 |
|
 |
1.50 |
|
2.66 |
|
 |
1.56 |
|
2.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.41) |
|
2.51 ↓
(2.67) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Phoenix Mercury
62% | Seattle Storm
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Seattle Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Storm than the current prediction. (+0.4%)Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +5.5, OT - Seattle (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Phoenix Mercury will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
11.  Ayayi V.
| 4.  Johnson F.
|
24.  Bonner D.
| 11.  Thiam A.
|
25. Thomas A.
| 14. Malonga D.
|
2. Copper K.
| 2. Hiedeman N.
|
10. Held A.
| 5.  Melbourne J.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
20.  Carter Q.
| 7. Cooke Z.
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31.  Linskens K.
| 31. Dolson S.
|
8.  Makani M.
| 54. Holmes M.
|
77. Suarez M.
| 23. Horston J.
|
| 13. Magbegor E.
|
| 33. Samuelson K.
|
| 3. Thierry T.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Tibbetts N.
| . Raman S.
|
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Phoenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Phoenix will hold a modest advantage in this match.We predict that Phoenix will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1575:1607. (average 78.8:80.4).Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 759:723. (average 84.3:80.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| WNBA | | | 20.06.26 | Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm | 93:73 | | 03.06.26 | Seattle Storm - Phoenix Mercury | 68:72 | | 17.08.25 | Seattle Storm - Phoenix Mercury | 82:85 | | 07.06.25 | Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm | 77:89 | | 23.05.25 | Seattle Storm - Phoenix Mercury | 77:70 | | 17.05.25 | Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm | 81:59 | | 19.09.24 | Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm | 70:89 |
|
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