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Current Win Probability
Pioneros de Los Mochis 25.5%
Astros de Jalisco 74.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
68.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
59.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pioneros de Los Mochis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pioneros de Los Mochis's form might have worsened.
Astros de Jalisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astros de Jalisco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pioneros de Los Mochis than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pioneros de Los Mochis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astros de Jalisco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pioneros de Los Mochis - Astros de Jalisco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:97
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Allen J.
12. Burke A.
6. Evans J.
6. Mencia Y. (C)
7. Griffin E.
4. Perry C.
11. Moultrie A.
2. Smith D.
0. Wilson-Frame J. (C)
21. Stoll P.
Substitutes
87. Baldenebro J.
11. Alvarez V.
23. Butler M.
7. Andriassi M.
5. Heredia J.
14. Arroyo P.
15. Juarez R.
23. De Lattibeaudiere T.
14. Martinez I.
25. Gutierrez J.
10. Smith R.
0. Rodriguez K.
32. Thompson E.
9. Willis D.
Coaches
. Garcia J.
. Deniz I.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pioneros won 0.
Recent performances by Pioneros have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Astros is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Astros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Astros is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pioneros won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1581:1818. (average 79.1:90.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Pioneros won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 865:987. (average 86.5:98.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Pioneros de Los Mochis - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 31.74%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.