Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Porto		Benfica

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.73	1.92
	1.70	1.91
	1.78	1.84
	1.66	1.87
	1.74	1.84
	1.70	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	1.94 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
53.4%

Benfica
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Porto - Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:82

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Porto has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1658:1711 (averaging 82.9:85.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Porto against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 728:709 goals (averaging 80.9:78.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	FC Porto	1	1	0	110:93	2
4	Benfica	1	1	0	84:71	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto Basketball
Champions League Basketball
07.10.26	Baskets Bonn - Porto	78:74 ✺
Portuguese LPB
02.10.26	CAQ Queluz - Porto	93:110 ✺
Portuguese Super Cup Basketball
26.09.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	80:76 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.26	1° de Agosto - Porto	77:94 ✺
05.09.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	84:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW
- Benfica Basketball
FIBA Europe Cup
07.10.26	Bakken Bears - Benfica	81:91 ✺
Portuguese LPB
03.10.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	84:71 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
26.09.26	Ovarense - Benfica	102:107 AET ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.09.26	Benfica - Rasta Vechta	88:98 ✺
15.09.26	Benfica - Lions de Genève	87:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
14.06.26	Porto - Benfica	75:71
12.06.26	Porto - Benfica	87:63
09.06.26	Benfica - Porto	98:102 OT
07.06.26	Benfica - Porto	89:73
21.03.26	Porto - Benfica	88:72
Portuguese Super Cup Basketball
21.12.25	Benfica - Porto	91:65
Portuguese LPB
15.11.25	Benfica - Porto	109:80

Porto - Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide