Match Info

LPB - Round 19

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Clube Desportivo Póvoa (Póvoa de Varzim)


	Povoa		Vitória de Guimarães

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.17	1.58
	2.09	1.68
	2.25	1.6
	2.22	1.61
	2.17	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Povoa
42.2%

Vitória de Guimarães
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Povoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Vitória de Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Povoa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Loncovic M.	0. Loyd W.
1. McCloud J.	11. Monteiro R.
0. Ona Embo R.	24. Moses T.
33. Robinson S.	14. Pinto P.
2. Suggs S.	2. Porter Z.
Substitutes
95. Barbosa N.	15. Bastos P. (C)
29. Faria G.	8. Costa R.
4. Gomes K.	3. Freitas D.
91. Okemirie J.	7. Mendes A.
5. Rodrigues J.	25. Ribeiro J.
23. Rodrigues M. (C)	41. Ventura F.
12. Santos J.	10. Wingett Jr D.
Coaches
. Rodrigues J.	. Miranda M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Povoa won 3.

Povoa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guimarães is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guimarães will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Povoa won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 813:807 (average 81.3:80.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Povoa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 335:324 (average 83.8:81).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Povoa Basketball
Portuguese LPB
29.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Povoa	84:57 ✺
15.03.25	Galomar - Povoa	72:84 ✺
08.03.25	Povoa - Galitos Barreiro	74:80 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
01.03.25	Povoa - Galitos Barreiro	70:75 ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.02.25	Ovarense - Povoa	83:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Portuguese LPB
29.03.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Galitos Barreiro	103:93 ✺
22.03.25	Galomar - Vitória de Guimarães	75:82 ✺
15.03.25	Ovarense - Vitória de Guimarães	81:76 ✺
08.03.25	Vitória de Guimarães - CAQ Queluz	104:77 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
01.03.25	Benfica - Vitória de Guimarães	85:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
18.12.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	94:72
Portuguese LPB
15.12.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	75:78
23.03.24	Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães	75:73
18.11.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	74:83 OT
08.04.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	96:92
11.03.23	Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães	97:84
17.12.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	79:76

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