Match Info

EUROPE: EUROCUP - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arena Riga (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV


	Prometey		Aris

	1	2
	1.26	4.1	Watch
	1.28	3.5
	1.3	3.6
	1.3	3.73
	1.3	3.73
	1.3	3.4
	1.28	3.44	Watch
	1.26	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.39)	3.68 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prometey
74.1%

Aris
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prometey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prometey's performance.

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prometey than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prometey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Prometey - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Prometey will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Aris will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Preview

Prometey is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aris is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Prometey could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Prometey is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prometey Basketball
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
02.03.24	VEF Riga - Prometey	83:76 ✺
28.02.24	Liepāja - Prometey	70:83 ✺
16.02.24	Prometey - Valmiera Glass Via	91:77 ✺
14.02.24	Ogre - Prometey	68:91 ✺
10.02.24	Prometey - BK Ventspils	86:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWW
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
02.03.24	Promitheas Patras - Aris	70:57 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
17.02.24	Panathinaikos - Aris	76:65 ✺
15.02.24	PAOK - Aris	74:76 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
11.02.24	Aris - PAOK	77:63 ✺
Eurocup
07.02.24	Aris - Basket Trento	84:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

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