Match Info

Greek Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Dimitris Tofalos Arena (Patras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Promitheas Patras		Maroussi Athens

	1	2
	2.22	1.59
	2.15	1.58
	2.27	1.57
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.33	1.57
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.47)	1.58 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Promitheas Patras
41.3%

Maroussi Athens
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Promitheas Patras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Promitheas Patras's form might have worsened.

Maroussi Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maroussi Athens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Promitheas Patras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maroussi Athens than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maroussi Athens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Promitheas Patras - Maroussi Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Promitheas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Maroussi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, OT - Promitheas (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Promitheas Patras will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Promitheas (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Maroussi (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:86

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Promitheas won 3.

Promitheas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maroussi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Promitheas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Promitheas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Promitheas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 616:588. (average 88:84).

Including home matches between the teams, Promitheas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 267:256. (average 89:85.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Promitheas Patras - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.43%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASP Promitheas Patras
Greek Basket League A1
24.01.26	Promitheas Patras - Aris	97:103 ✺
17.01.26	Promitheas Patras - Panionios	87:91 ✺
11.01.26	Maroussi Athens - Promitheas Patras	96:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.01.26	Promitheas Patras - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	82:92 ✺
06.01.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Promitheas Patras	93:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Maroussi Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
01.02.26	Maroussi Athens - Panionios	97:105 ✺
25.01.26	Panathinaikos - Maroussi Athens	92:81 ✺
17.01.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Maroussi Athens	104:89 ✺
11.01.26	Maroussi Athens - Promitheas Patras	96:78 ✺
04.01.26	Kolossos Rodou - Maroussi Athens	90:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
11.01.26	Maroussi Athens - Promitheas Patras	96:78
11.10.25	Promitheas Patras - Maroussi Athens	93:88
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.25	Maroussi Athens - Promitheas Patras	86:92
Greek Basket League A1
28.12.24	Promitheas Patras - Maroussi Athens	63:76
05.10.24	Maroussi Athens - Promitheas Patras	80:84
13.01.24	Maroussi Athens - Promitheas Patras	70:95
23.10.23	Promitheas Patras - Maroussi Athens	111:92

Promitheas Patras - Maroussi Athens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide