Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - ROUND 32

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday

Location: Halle des Sports Parsemain (Fos-sur-Mer)


	Provence Basket		Cholet Basket

	1	2
	2.45	1.61
	2.15	1.65
	2.25	1.65
	2.33	1.64
	2.4	1.6
	2.38	1.6
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.6)	1.62 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Basket
41.2%

Cholet Basket
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Provence Basket's performance.

Cholet Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cholet Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Basket than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Provence Basket - Cholet Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Provence will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cholet will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:83

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Cholet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cholet will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Provence won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 375-409.

Including matches at home between the teams Provence won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 139-158.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fos Ouest Provence Basket
French LNB
29.04.23	Le Portel - Provence Basket	97:70 ✺
26.04.23	Provence Basket - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	75:86 ✺
23.04.23	Provence Basket - Strasbourg	87:65 ✺
16.04.23	AS Monaco Basket - Provence Basket	98:83 ✺
08.04.23	Nanterre - Provence Basket	93:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Cholet Basket
French LNB
03.05.23	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	98:69 ✺
30.04.23	AS Monaco Basket - Cholet Basket	94:86 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
26.04.23	Cholet Basket - Anwil Włocławek	78:80 ✺
19.04.23	Anwil Włocławek - Cholet Basket	81:77 ✺
French LNB
13.04.23	Cholet Basket - Chorale Roanne	81:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
06.12.22	Cholet Basket - Provence Basket	73:70
28.01.22	Provence Basket - Cholet Basket	69:81
18.12.21	Cholet Basket - Provence Basket	79:83
12.05.19	Cholet Basket - Provence Basket	99:83
12.10.18	Provence Basket - Cholet Basket	70:77

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