Match Info

LNB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	ASVEL Basket		Cholet Basket

	1	2
	1.37	2.85
	1.42	2.7
	1.4	3.06
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.41	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.26)	2.88 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
67.2%

Cholet Basket
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ASVEL Basket's form might have worsened.

Cholet Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cholet Basket's recent form is better than expected.

ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Ajinca M.	23. Agbo C.
6. Angola B.	11. Ayayi G.
00. Eboua P.	44. Campbell T. (C)
10. Massa B.	93. Diarra M.
30. Watson G.	8. McNeace J.
Substitutes
2. Atamna A.	7. De Sousa N.
9. Diouf P.	6. Diawara D.
3. Harrison S.	3. Gholston D.
11. Jackson E.	21. Justice K.
23. Lighty D. (C)	79. Towo-Nansi A.
24. Ndiaye M.	22. Wahad Q.
21. Sow A.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Lefrancois F.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 1.

Recent performances by ASVEL have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cholet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, ASVEL is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1686:1592. (average 84.3:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 935:883. (average 85:80.3).

Outrights of French LNB for now

Lyon-Villeurbanne: 42.01% Cholet: 1.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Lyon-Villeurbanne	2	2	0	167:150	1.000
10	Cholet	2	1	1	170:173	0.500

Last Results with these Odds

ASVEL Basket - the odds 1.26 are the expected chance of winning is 73.58%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
French LNB
28.05.26	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	77:65 ✺
26.05.26	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	75:67 ✺
16.05.26	Paris - ASVEL Basket	87:76 ✺
09.05.26	ASVEL Basket - Strasbourg	89:81 ✺
05.05.26	ASVEL Basket - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	91:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWW
- Cholet Basket
French LNB
28.05.26	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	77:65 ✺
26.05.26	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	75:67 ✺
16.05.26	Nanterre - Cholet Basket	66:79 ✺
10.05.26	Cholet Basket - Nancy	94:91 OT ✺
02.05.26	Boulazac - Cholet Basket	68:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
28.05.26	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	77:65
26.05.26	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	75:67
28.03.26	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	93:85
French Leaders Cup Basketball
20.02.26	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	82:93
French LNB
14.12.25	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	85:87
04.05.25	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	75:94
03.11.24	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	87:101

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