Match Info

NCAA

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Providence Friars		Xavier Musketeers

	1	2
	1.38	2.9
	1.36	3.2
	1.33	3
	1.41	3.06
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.4	2.95
	1.37	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)	2.97 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Providence Friars
68.2%

Xavier Musketeers
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Providence Friars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Xavier Musketeers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xavier Musketeers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 1.

In recent matches, Providence has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Xavier's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Providence is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Providence will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Providence won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1494:1547. (average 74.7:77.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 715:714. (average 79.4:79.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Providence Friars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.02.26	DePaul Blue Demons - Providence Friars	68:71 ✺
14.02.26	Providence Friars - St. Johns Red Storm	69:79 ✺
11.02.26	Seton Hall Pirates - Providence Friars	87:80 ✺
07.02.26	Providence Friars - DePaul Blue Demons	90:72 ✺
04.02.26	Providence Friars - Butler Bulldogs	97:87 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW
- Xavier Musketeers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.02.26	Butler Bulldogs - Xavier Musketeers	80:75 ✺
17.02.26	Xavier Musketeers - Villanova Wildcats	89:92 OT ✺
14.02.26	Xavier Musketeers - Marquette Golden Eagles	96:88 ✺
09.02.26	St. Johns Red Storm - Xavier Musketeers	87:82 OT ✺
03.02.26	Connecticut Huskies - Xavier Musketeers	92:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars	97:84
08.03.25	Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars	76:68
12.02.25	Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers	82:91
21.02.24	Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars	75:79
13.01.24	Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers	65:85
01.03.23	Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers	89:94
01.02.23	Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars	85:83 OT

Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide