Match Info

NCAA

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Quinnipiac Bobcats		Merrimack Warriors

	1	2
	1.6	2.25
	1.63	2.18
	1.65	2.29
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.59	2.24
	1.62	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)	2.25 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quinnipiac Bobcats
58.2%

Merrimack Warriors
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quinnipiac Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quinnipiac Bobcats's performance.

Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merrimack Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quinnipiac Bobcats than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quinnipiac Bobcats that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merrimack Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Quinnipiac Bobcats - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:69

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Preview

Quinnipiac is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Merrimack is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Merrimack may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quinnipiac won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 215:232. (average 71.7:77.3).

Including home match between the teams, Quinnipiac won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 81:76.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Quinnipiac: 0.22% Merrimack Warriors: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quinnipiac Bobcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.02.26	Siena Saints - Quinnipiac Bobcats	62:74 ✺
07.02.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Niagara Purple Eagles	56:55 ✺
05.02.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Canisius Golden Griffins	75:60 ✺
01.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Quinnipiac Bobcats	65:72 ✺
30.01.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Sacred Heart Pioneers	91:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL
- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Marist Red Foxes	N/A ✺
12.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Marist Red Foxes	81:56 ✺
07.02.26	Rider Broncs - Merrimack Warriors	47:73 ✺
05.02.26	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Merrimack Warriors	70:87 ✺
01.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Sacred Heart Pioneers	75:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - Quinnipiac Bobcats	83:71
02.03.25	Merrimack Warriors - Quinnipiac Bobcats	73:63
16.01.25	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Merrimack Warriors	81:76

Quinnipiac Bobcats - Merrimack Warriors