Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Daugavas Sporta nams (Riga)


	Rīgas Zeļļi		Tallinna Kalev

	1	2
	1.98	1.75
	1.99	1.76
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.02	1.69
	1.91	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rīgas Zeļļi
46.8%

Tallinna Kalev
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rīgas Zeļļi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rīgas Zeļļi than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Anigwe C.	3. Jelks S.
23. Fidler F.	9. Kaukiainen S.
5. Lukashov D.	15. Miska A.
7. Macoha R.	1. Rosenthal M.
10. Sulcs R.	10. Toom H.
Substitutes
31. Berzins J.	5. Acuff T.
8. Berzins R.	6. Alles M.
55. Krestinin D.	22. Dorbek M. (C)
20. Nikolajevs R.	7. Kasemets K.
15. Pinete U. (C)	8. Kurbas T.
0. Shabazz K.	0. Kurucs I.
1. Vitols J.
Coaches
. Coders D.	. Killing K.

Preview

Rigas Zelli leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rīgas Zeļļi won 4.

Rīgas Zeļļi is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kalev is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rīgas Zeļļi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 769:742. (average 76.9:74.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rīgas Zeļļi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 296:291. (average 74:72.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Rigas Zelli	4	4	0	377:303	1.000
7	BC Kalev/Cramo	4	2	2	304:320	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rīgas Zeļļi
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
20.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	69:83 ✺
14.03.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Viimsi	90:74 ✺
13.03.26	Keila Basket - Rīgas Zeļļi	88:102 ✺
ENBL
11.03.26	Tindastóll - Rīgas Zeļļi	94:101 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
07.03.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Pärnu	83:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWW
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
20.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	69:83 ✺
14.03.26	BK Ventspils - Tallinna Kalev	84:109 ✺
10.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Ogre	104:93 ✺
08.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - TalTech	91:78 ✺
03.03.26	Keila - Tallinna Kalev	73:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
20.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	69:83
07.02.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev	70:92
11.10.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	72:100
08.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	71:78
05.04.25	Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev	71:54
02.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	87:80
04.01.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	79:67

Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide