Match Info

Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)


	Rapla		Tallinna Kalev

	1	2
			Watch
	4.1	1.18
	5.25	1.12
	4.38	1.08
	4.96	1.13	Watch
	4.75	1.15
	4.47	1.18
	5.25	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (4.18)	1.14 ↑ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapla
19.4%

Tallinna Kalev
80.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

78.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Rapla - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Eelmae H. (C)	13. Hermet K.
1. McCreary J.	9. Kaukiainen S.
0. Mckissic B.	12. Kuuba G.
19. Niits T.	4. Tape P.
8. Ruubel M.	7. Vaaks S.
Substitutes
3. Jakk R.	11. Bockler L.
22. Kajupank I.	22. Dorbek M. (C)
32. Kilk K.	3. Kitsing K.
7. Krumins E.	8. Kurbas T.
4. Laane R.	33. Meiers M.
33. Ruut M.	15. Miska A.
16. Stankovic L.	10. Toom H.
Coaches
. Nomm B.	. Reinbok I.

Preview

BC Kalev/Cramo leads series 1-0. 2nd leg./

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapla won 0.

Rapla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalev is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rapla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kalev has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kalev is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rapla won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1349:1722. (average 67.5:86.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rapla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 553:693. (average 69.1:86.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapla KK
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
03.05.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	88:64 ✺
29.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	95:69 ✺
26.04.25	Pärnu - Rapla	92:82 ✺
23.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	100:69 ✺
19.04.25	Pärnu - Rapla	82:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
03.05.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	88:64 ✺
24.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila	112:82 ✺
20.04.25	Keila - Tallinna Kalev	81:92 ✺
17.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila	99:76 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
11.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Ogre	92:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
03.05.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	88:64
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
28.12.24	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	82:77
16.11.24	Rapla - Tallinna Kalev	75:87
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
12.05.24	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	87:56
10.05.24	Rapla - Tallinna Kalev	66:110
08.05.24	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	106:51
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
24.01.24	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	82:54

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