Match Info

Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Unibet Arena (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev		Rapla

	1	2
			Watch
	1.08	6
	1.05	7.6
	1.03	6.42
	1.05	7.94	Watch
	1.07	7.5
	1.05	7.9	Watch
	1.05	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↑ (1.03)	7.28 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
87.4%

Rapla
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rapla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tallinna Kalev - Rapla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hermet K.	5. Eelmae H.
9. Kaukiainen S.	1. McCreary J.
12. Kuuba G.	0. Mckissic B.
4. Tape P.	19. Niits T.
7. Vaaks S.	8. Ruubel M.
Substitutes
11. Bockler L.	3. Jakk R.
22. Dorbek M. (C)	22. Kajupank I.
3. Kitsing K.	32. Kilk K.
8. Kurbas T.	7. Krumins E.
33. Meiers M.	4. Laane R.
15. Miska A.	33. Ruut M.
10. Toom H.	16. Stankovic L.
Coaches
. Reinbok I.	. Nomm B.

Preview

BC Kalev/Cramo leads series 2-0. 3rd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 5.

Kalev has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Rapla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kalev is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1731:1381. (average 86.6:69.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1029:796. (average 85.8:66.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
06.05.25	Rapla - Tallinna Kalev	92:101 ✺
03.05.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	88:64 ✺
24.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila	112:82 ✺
20.04.25	Keila - Tallinna Kalev	81:92 ✺
17.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila	99:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW
- Rapla KK
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
06.05.25	Rapla - Tallinna Kalev	92:101 ✺
03.05.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	88:64 ✺
29.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	95:69 ✺
26.04.25	Pärnu - Rapla	92:82 ✺
23.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	100:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
06.05.25	Rapla - Tallinna Kalev	92:101
03.05.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	88:64
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
28.12.24	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	82:77
16.11.24	Rapla - Tallinna Kalev	75:87
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
12.05.24	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	87:56
10.05.24	Rapla - Tallinna Kalev	66:110
08.05.24	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	106:51

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