Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: NBA Basketball School arena (Vilnius)


	Rytas 2		Neptūnas

	1	2
	1.62	2.15
	1.7	2.11
	1.72	2.13
	1.67	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)	2.13 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rytas 2
55.9%

Neptūnas
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rytas 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas 2 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Rytas 2 - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rytas 2 won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Neptūnas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rytas 2 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 594-569.

Including matches at home between the teams Rytas 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 272-259.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rytas 2
Lietuvos NKL
15.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Rytas 2	82:76 ✺
10.02.24	Delikatesas Joniškis - Rytas 2	82:84 ✺
08.02.24	Rytas 2 - Delikatesas Joniškis	82:99 ✺
03.02.24	Rytas 2 - Šilutė	93:81 ✺
27.01.24	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	66:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWL
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos NKL
15.02.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	89:76 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
12.02.24	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	75:95 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
10.02.24	Neptūnas - Kretinga	96:84 ✺
08.02.24	Kretinga - Neptūnas	84:79 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.02.24	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Neptūnas	96:92 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
20.01.24	Neptūnas - Rytas 2	78:69
21.12.23	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas	95:92
02.11.23	Neptūnas - Rytas 2	85:101
04.03.23	Neptūnas - Rytas 2	74:83
11.02.23	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas	98:77
19.11.22	Neptūnas - Rytas 2	73:69
17.11.22	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas	79:90

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