Match Info

NBA

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Golden 1 Center (Sacramento, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Sacramento Kings		Dallas Mavericks

	1	2
	2.75	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.48	1.59	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.71	1.54
	2.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.77)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 232.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Kings
36.8%

Dallas Mavericks
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Dallas Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Kings than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sacramento will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Dallas will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sacramento: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -9.5, OT - Sacramento (6.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6, OT - Dallas (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 232.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 233, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5, 1st Half - Sacramento (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Sacramento (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sacramento Kings will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 114:119

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. DeRozan D.	32. Flagg C.
9. Achiuwa P.	3. Davis A.
42. Raynaud M.	21. Gafford D.
8. LaVine Z.	13. Marshall N.
18. Westbrook R.	00. Christie M.
Coaches
. Christie D.	. Kidd J.

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 4.

Sacramento is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dallas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sacramento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dallas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sacramento: Murray K. (Ankle Injury) Sabonis D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dallas: Exum D. (Knee Injury) Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Dallas: Washington P. J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2228:2200. (average 111.4:110).

Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1165:1198. (average 105.9:108.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Sacramento Kings - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Kings
NBA
04.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Milwaukee Bucks	98:115 ✺
02.01.26	Phoenix Suns - Sacramento Kings	129:102 ✺
01.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Boston Celtics	106:120 ✺
30.12.25	Los Angeles Clippers - Sacramento Kings	131:90 ✺
28.12.25	Los Angeles Lakers - Sacramento Kings	125:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dallas Mavericks
NBA
03.01.26	Dallas Mavericks - Houston Rockets	110:104 ✺
01.01.26	Dallas Mavericks - Philadelphia 76ers	108:123 ✺
29.12.25	Portland Trail Blazers - Dallas Mavericks	125:122 ✺
27.12.25	Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks	113:107 ✺
25.12.25	Golden State Warriors - Dallas Mavericks	126:116 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
27.12.25	Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks	113:107
16.04.25	Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks	106:120
03.03.25	Dallas Mavericks - Sacramento Kings	98:122
10.02.25	Dallas Mavericks - Sacramento Kings	128:129 OT
30.12.24	Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks	110:100
29.03.24	Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks	103:107
26.03.24	Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks	96:132

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