Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Sacramento State Hornets		UC Davis Aggies

	1	2
	3.2	1.37
	3.2	1.36
	3.15	1.36
	3.26	1.36
	3.08	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.29	1.37
	3.15	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.87)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento State Hornets
29.8%

UC Davis Aggies
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento State Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

UC Davis Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento State Hornets than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UC Davis Aggies than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Sacramento State Hornets - UC Davis Aggies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:72

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sacramento State won 4.

Sacramento State is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches UC Davis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match UC Davis is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sacramento State won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 747:758 (average 62.3:63.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sacramento State won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 354:374 (average 70.8:74.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.12.24	Sacramento State Hornets - Omaha Mavericks	60:70 ✺
04.12.24	Denver Pioneers - Sacramento State Hornets	80:59 ✺
30.11.24	Sacramento State Hornets - Mercyhurst Lakers	60:66 ✺
27.11.24	Air Force Falcons - Sacramento State Hornets	61:63 ✺
24.11.24	California Golden Bears - Sacramento State Hornets	83:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWL
- UC Davis Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.12.24	UC Davis Aggies - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	71:60 ✺
05.12.24	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	77:66 ✺
30.11.24	Oregon State Beavers - UC Davis Aggies	90:57 ✺
25.11.24	UC Davis Aggies - Norfolk State Spartans	55:76 ✺
20.11.24	Grand Canyon Antelopes - UC Davis Aggies	68:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
26.11.23	UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets	63:69
22.11.22	UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets	82:71
23.11.21	Sacramento State Hornets - UC Davis Aggies	75:63
20.11.19	UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets	51:61
20.11.18	UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets	55:58
21.11.17	Sacramento State Hornets - UC Davis Aggies	47:64
21.11.16	Sacramento State Hornets - UC Davis Aggies	72:81

Sacramento State Hornets - UC Davis Aggies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide