Match Info

NCAA

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	UC Davis Aggies		Cal Poly Mustangs

	1	2
	1.41	3
	1.37	2.9
	1.41	3.02
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.41	2.87
	1.44	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.34)	2.89 (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UC Davis Aggies
67.2%

Cal Poly Mustangs
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UC Davis Aggies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cal Poly Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UC Davis Aggies than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:82

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UC Davis won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, UC Davis is the team to beat.

We predict that UC Davis will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UC Davis won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1342:1189. (average 67.1:59.5).

Including home matches between the teams, UC Davis won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 639:539. (average 63.9:53.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Davis Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
05.02.26	UC Davis Aggies - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	85:75 ✺
31.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - UC Davis Aggies	72:80 ✺
29.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - UC Davis Aggies	94:78 ✺
24.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - UC Riverside Highlanders	74:66 ✺
22.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - UC San Diego Tritons	74:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWL
- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
05.02.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors	96:97 ✺
31.01.26	UC Riverside Highlanders - Cal Poly Mustangs	87:94 ✺
29.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - Cal Poly Mustangs	79:104 ✺
24.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Fullerton Titans	78:93 ✺
22.01.26	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs	107:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	84:78
12.03.25	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	76:86
16.01.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	54:65
05.12.24	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	77:66
03.02.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	52:59
30.12.23	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	71:46
25.02.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	52:58

UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide