Match Info

B.League Premier

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Saga Arena (Saga) 🌤️ ...


	Saga Ballooners		Nagasaki Velca

	1	2
	2.5	1.5
	2.45	1.48
	2.35	1.48
	2.7	1.47
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.6	1.43
	2.47	1.48
	2.42	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.21)	1.49 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saga Ballooners
37.4%

Nagasaki Velca
62.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saga Ballooners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saga Ballooners's performance.

Nagasaki Velca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagasaki Velca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Inoue R. (C)	34. Aguilar P.
9. Little N.	18. Baba Y.
31. Olivier C.	7. Brantley J.
25. Sumida T.	9. Morikawa M.
18. Uchio S.	10. Nagano I.
Substitutes
13. Abe R.	13. Hoshikawa K.
7. Hashimoto K.	11. Kumagai K.
20. Kishida A.	1. Matsumoto K. (C)
11. Takedomi F.	20. Randolph L.
21. Tomiyama T.	14. Takahira K.
	32. Tanaka L.
	77. Tsuchiya A.
Coaches
. Miyanaga Y.	. Vickerman D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saga won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Saga (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nagasaki has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nagasaki may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nagasaki has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nagasaki holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Saga has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 757:770 (averaging 75.7:77 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Saga against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 459:470 goals (averaging 76.5:78.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Saga Ballooners - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.67%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Nagasaki Velca - the odds 1.29 are the expected chance of winning is 71.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saga Ballooners
Japan B League Premier
18.10.26	Kyoto Hannaryz - Saga Ballooners	115:70 ✺
16.10.26	Saga Ballooners - Levanga Hokkaido	90:109 ✺
12.10.26	Saga Ballooners - Gunma Crane Thunders	61:72 ✺
10.10.26	Kobe Storks - Saga Ballooners	77:84 ✺
08.10.26	Toyota Alvark - Saga Ballooners	90:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWL
- Nagasaki Velca
Japan B League Premier
19.10.26	Nagasaki Velca - Altiri Chiba	65:82 ✺
17.10.26	Tokyo SunRockers - Nagasaki Velca	95:63 ✺
EASL Basketball
14.10.26	Nagasaki Velca - Jeonju KCC Egis	83:98 ✺
Japan B League Premier
12.10.26	Nagasaki Velca - Kobe Storks	85:69 ✺
10.10.26	Nagasaki Velca - Gunma Crane Thunders	70:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
11.10.25	Nagasaki Velca - Saga Ballooners	85:73
10.10.25	Nagasaki Velca - Saga Ballooners	76:67
23.04.25	Nagasaki Velca - Saga Ballooners	68:78
05.03.25	Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca	86:92
02.12.24	Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca	78:93
01.12.24	Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca	80:51
14.04.24	Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca	73:80

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