The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saga Ballooners 38.5%
Nagasaki Velca 61.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
55.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saga Ballooners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saga Ballooners's form might have worsened.
Nagasaki Velca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagasaki Velca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saga Ballooners than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saga Ballooners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagasaki Velca than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagasaki Velca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Saga Ballooners - Nagasaki Velca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:80
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Childs Y.
18. Baba Y.
7. Durham A.
7. Brantley J.
34. Inoue R.
15. Edu A. J.
14. Kanamaru K.
13. Smith M.
25. Sumida T.
17. Yamaguchi H.
Substitutes
36. Aihara A.
22. Groves T.
6. Fukunaga K.
4. Karimata M.
30. Karino Y.
99. Kawamata K.
20. Kishida A.
8. Kibayashi Y.
32. Mitsuhara Y.
1. Matsumoto K.
15. Mochi R.
9. Morikawa M.
13. Takashi R.
14. Takahira K. (C)
21. Tomiyama T.
5. Yamashita Y. (C)
Coaches
. Miyanaga Y.
. Maor M.
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Saga won 2.
Saga has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Nagasaki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nagasaki will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Saga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 453:449 (average 75.5:74.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Saga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 373:378 (average 74.6:75.6).
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Childs Y. 
Baba Y. 
Edu A. J. 
