Match Info

B2.League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: White Ring Arena (Nagano)


	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano		Fukushima Firebonds

	1	2
	1.48	2.3	Watch
	1.43	2.76
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.39	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)	2.55 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano
63.8%

Fukushima Firebonds
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano's performance.

Fukushima Firebonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fukushima Firebonds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima Firebonds than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fukushima Firebonds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukushima Firebonds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Chambers A.	13. Kasai K. (C)
24. Daum M. (C)	55. Manigault K.
3. Donley E.	24. Nunge J.
50. Marshall W.	1. Tsukasa N.
11. Oguri A.	20. Wiley K.
Substitutes
0. Fukushima H.	5. Bamba D.
4. Kodama T.	15. Gardner P.
22. O'Brien J.	42. Masuko T.
27. Tokairin S.	14. Ogawa S.
5. Tsuchiya D.	3. Okubo Y.
51. Yokoyama H.	9. Shinkawa K.
	44. Yoneyama J.
Coaches
. Katsuhisa M.	. Marchand R.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinshu won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Shinshu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shinshu has had a series of home games.

Shinshu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shinshu won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1708:1638. (average 85.4:81.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Shinshu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 791:769. (average 87.9:85.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano
Japan B League One
10.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukushima Firebonds	82:74 ✺
09.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukushima Firebonds	83:90 ✺
04.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukui Blowinds	90:89 ✺
03.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukui Blowinds	82:88 ✺
02.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukui Blowinds	96:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Fukushima Firebonds
Japan B League One
10.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukushima Firebonds	82:74 ✺
09.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukushima Firebonds	83:90 ✺
03.05.26	Fukushima Firebonds - Kumamoto Volters	86:79 ✺
02.05.26	Fukushima Firebonds - Kumamoto Volters	94:76 ✺
26.04.26	Yokohama Excellence - Fukushima Firebonds	112:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League One
10.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukushima Firebonds	82:74
09.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukushima Firebonds	83:90
22.03.26	Fukushima Firebonds - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	69:61
21.03.26	Fukushima Firebonds - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	74:79
03.01.26	Fukushima Firebonds - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	73:91
03.01.26	Fukushima Firebonds - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	81:88
16.11.25	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukushima Firebonds	84:93

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukushima Firebonds
Japan B League One
24.10.26	Aomori Watts - Fukushima Firebonds	✺

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukushima Firebonds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide