The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano 21.7%
SAN-EN NeoPhoenix 78.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
71.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
64.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano's form might have worsened.
SAN-EN NeoPhoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SAN-EN NeoPhoenix's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SAN-EN NeoPhoenix than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SAN-EN NeoPhoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - SAN EN NeoPhoenix Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:92
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Daum M.
21. Brown V.
6. Furukawa T. (C)
7. Davis T.
00. Harris K.
55. Harrellson J.
14. Hoshino K.
24. Sasaki R. (C)
13. Lee M.
28. Tsuya K.
Substitutes
3. Donley E.
11. Asai H.
22. Kaishu T. M.
13. Futagami H.
44. Kato D.
33. Kodama J.
15. Kawata T.
20. Nemoto D.
11. Oguri A.
10. Sugasawa N.
27. Tokairin S.
2. van Tubbergen J.
5. Tsuchiya D.
14. Wakugawa H.
Coaches
. Flavell J.
. Ayabe M.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinshu won 1.
Shinshu has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
NeoPhoenix is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Shinshu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NeoPhoenix has had a run of games away from home.
NeoPhoenix carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Shinshu has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1224:1246 (averaging 76.5:77.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shinshu against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 532:518 goals (averaging 76:74 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.57%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
SAN-EN NeoPhoenix - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 71.43%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.