Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 6

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Stozice (Ljubljana) 🌤️ ...


	Slovenia		Sweden

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.50
	2.50	1.49	Watch
	2.56	1.46
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.50	1.44
	2.40	1.54
	2.32	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.66)	1.5 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovenia
37.9%

Sweden
62.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slovenia's form might have worsened.

Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sweden's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Slovenia - Sweden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovenia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sweden (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Slovenia will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Hrovat G. Dijon	35. Birgander S. Joventut Badalona
17. Kroflic U. Mega Basket	3. Cadeau E.
8. Muric E. Ilirija	34. Klintman B. Detroit Pistons
12. Radovic R. Cedevita Olimpija	9. Larsson P. Miami Heat
5. Samar Z. Gran Canaria	19. Pantzar M. J. Bilbao
Substitutes
20. Cerkvenik M. Cedevita Olimpija	1. Andersson D. Obradoiro CAB
21. Ciani S.	27. Bangala Z. Mechelen
25. Hrabar V. Saski Baskonia	18. Gaddefors V.
22. Joksimovic S. Saski Baskonia	31. Njie B. Braunschweig
24. Omic A. Merkezefendi	21. Palmquist O. Boras
4. Padjen M. Ilirija	11. Pohto K. Nevezis
7. Prepelic K. Dubai	32. Vahlberg T.
Coaches
. Sekulic A.	. Riipinen M.

Preview

Slovenia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sweden will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Slovenia: Doncic L. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Slovenia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 272:253. (average 90.7:84.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovenia basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.07.26	Estonia - Slovenia	93:62 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
27.06.26	Slovenia - Italy	83:86 ✺
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Czech Republic - Slovenia	84:86 ✺
27.02.26	Slovenia - Czech Republic	99:59 ✺
01.12.25	Sweden - Slovenia	83:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWW
- Sweden basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.07.26	Sweden - Czech Republic	87:76 ✺
01.03.26	Estonia - Sweden	69:79 ✺
27.02.26	Sweden - Estonia	77:88 ✺
01.12.25	Sweden - Slovenia	83:94 ✺
28.11.25	Czech Republic - Sweden	100:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	Sweden - Slovenia	83:94
03.07.22	Sweden - Slovenia	81:84
28.11.21	Slovenia - Sweden	94:89

Slovenia - Sweden