Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 4

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unibet Arena (Tallinn) 🌤️ ...


	Estonia		Sweden

	1	2
	1.25	3.7	Watch
	1.25	3.7	Watch
	1.26	3.4
	1.28	3.55	Watch
	1.25	3.5
	1.29	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.2)	3.55 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estonia
73.7%

Sweden
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Estonia - Sweden Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Sweden will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 67.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sweden will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Joesaar J. KK Bosna	5. Falk W. Murcia
34. Konontsuk A. Bursaspor Durmazlar	12. Hakanson L. Joventut Badalona
77. Kullamae K. Lietkabelis	19. Pantzar M. J. Bilbao
2. Raieste S. Murcia	11. Pohto K. Nevezis
3. Treier K. Basket Napoli	16. Spires N.
Substitutes
0. Drell H. Joventut Badalona	27. Bangala Z. Mechelen
13. Hermet K. Dijon	6. Borg T. Palencia
8. Kirves M. BC Jonava	23. Hampton P. Norrkoping Dolphins
99. Lips K. Tartu Ulikool	77. Hansson G. BC Lulea
25. Riismaa J. Derthona Tortona	3. Palmquist O. Boras
18. Suurorg K. Trefl Sopot	2. Ramstedt A. Gottingen
11. Vene S. Siauliai	8. Terins F. Tizona Burgos
Coaches
. Rannula H.	. Riipinen M.

Preview

In this match, Estonia is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estonia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 407:404. (average 81.4:80.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Sweden - Estonia	77:88 ✺
01.12.25	Estonia - Czech Republic	92:97 ✺
28.11.25	Slovenia - Estonia	93:94 OT ✺
EuroBasket
03.09.25	Estonia - Portugal	65:68 ✺
01.09.25	Estonia - Turkey	64:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- Sweden basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Sweden - Estonia	77:88 ✺
01.12.25	Sweden - Slovenia	83:94 ✺
28.11.25	Czech Republic - Sweden	100:80 ✺
EuroBasket
06.09.25	Turkey - Sweden	85:79 ✺
03.09.25	Lithuania - Sweden	74:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Sweden - Estonia	77:88
Friendly International Basketball
20.08.25	Sweden - Estonia	87:88
World Championship Basketball
27.02.23	Sweden - Estonia	71:72
11.11.22	Estonia - Sweden	82:87
Friendly International Basketball
26.07.17	Sweden - Estonia	82:77

Estonia - Sweden