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Current Win Probability
South East Melbourne Phoenix 59.9%
Illawarra Hawks 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Illawarra Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:96
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hunter J.
35. Doyle M.
13. Krebs T.
13. Froling S.
9. Mays S.
1. Harvey T.
99. Schwartz D.
30. Martin K.
20. Sobey N.
9. Swaka W.
Substitutes
7. Aliir A.
5. Adnam K.
8. Biggar E.
11. Grida D.
4. Daniels D.
6. Hickey W.
3. Davidson S.
44. Maker M.
5. Glover A.
16. Narkle J.
12. Morin Y.
24. Patterson L.
2. Ryan P.
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 8th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 3.
Recent results have been tough for South East Melbourne (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Illawarra may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, South East Melbourne has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1921:1947 (averaging 96.1:97.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for South East Melbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 991:916 goals (averaging 99.1:91.6 per game).
Outrights of Australian NBL for now
South East Melbourne: 8.57% Illawarra Hawks: 6.16%
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Hunter J. 
Doyle M. 
Morin Y. 
