Match Info

NBL - Round 22

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: MyState Bank Arena (Hobart)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports


	Tasmania JackJumpers		Illawarra Hawks

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.95
	1.89	1.95
	4.24	1.20	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.83	2.01	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.62)	1.84 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 190.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tasmania JackJumpers
45.2%

Illawarra Hawks
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tasmania JackJumpers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tasmania JackJumpers's form might have worsened.

Illawarra Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illawarra Hawks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tasmania JackJumpers than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tasmania JackJumpers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illawarra Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Bannan J.	21. Blanchfield T.
12. Campbell T.	1. Harvey T. (C)
5. Deng M.	0. McGee J.
7. Johnson D.	77. Peterson QJ
11. Marshall N.	9. Swaka W.
Substitutes
3. Drmic A. (C)	14. Bayles B.
2. Nunn B.	13. Froling S.
14. Richards J.	11. Grida D.
4. Stoddart N.	6. Hickey W.
15. Woodhill A.	16. Narkle J.
	22. Peatling M.
Coaches
. Roth S.	. Tatum J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasmania won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tasmania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tasmania won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1420:1391. (average 88.8:86.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tasmania won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 704:688. (average 88:86).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790:748	0.750
10	Illawarra Hawks	9	2	7	871:953	0.222

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Tasmania JackJumpers: 11.38% Illawarra Hawks: 6.16%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tasmania JackJumpers
Australian NBL
14.02.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers	120:104 ✺
06.02.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Brisbane Bullets	114:70 ✺
31.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers	91:89 ✺
30.01.26	Cairns Taipans - Tasmania JackJumpers	96:93 OT ✺
24.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks	91:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL
- Illawarra Hawks
Australian NBL
14.02.26	Melbourne United - Illawarra Hawks	91:100 ✺
13.02.26	Illawarra Hawks - Sydney Kings	94:120 ✺
07.02.26	New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks	106:95 ✺
05.02.26	Illawarra Hawks - Adelaide 36ers	100:99 ✺
31.01.26	Illawarra Hawks - Perth Wildcats	99:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
24.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks	91:101
31.12.25	Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers	92:90
27.09.25	Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers	86:91
30.01.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks	78:102
07.01.25	Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers	89:84
12.10.24	Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers	109:76
28.02.24	Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks	92:76

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