The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Zealand Breakers 43.3%
Illawarra Hawks 56.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand Breakers's form might have worsened.
Illawarra Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illawarra Hawks's recent form is better than expected.
New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:94
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
8. Bediako C.
35. Doyle M.
6. Jackson-Cartwright P.
13. Froling S.
2. Le'Afa I.
6. Hickey W.
3. Mennenga S.
30. Martin K.
34. Vasiljevic D.
9. Swaka W.
Substitutes
4. Cooper T. K.
5. Adnam K.
0. Davison C.
21. Blanchfield T.
0. King M.
7. Days D.
12. Noi K.
1. Harvey T.
13. Rissetto A.
16. Narkle J.
21. Robinson K.
22. Peatling M.
7. Te Rangi R.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 4.
NZ Breakers may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NZ Breakers has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1685:1640 (averaging 84.3:82 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NZ Breakers against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 792:765 goals (averaging 88:85 per game).
Outrights of Australian NBL for now
Illawarra Hawks: 6.16% New Zealand Breakers: 4.11%