Match Info

NBL - Round 3

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: RAC Arena (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Perth Wildcats		South East Melbourne Phoenix

	1	2
	2.45	1.50
	2.48	1.53
	2.63	1.52
	2.28	1.57	Watch
	2.50	1.50
	2.67	1.50	Watch
	2.60	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2)	1.52 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 189.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Wildcats
37.6%

South East Melbourne Phoenix
62.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perth Wildcats's form might have worsened.

South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South East Melbourne Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Perth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 195.5, OT - over (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Perth (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Perth Wildcats will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Perth (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:98

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Brandt A.	1. Hunter J.
2. Dell'Orso A.	13. Krebs T.
5. Doolittle K.	9. Mays S.
40. Pepper E.	99. Schwartz D.
3. Windler D.	20. Sobey N.
Substitutes
27. Higgins-Titsha A.	7. Aliir A.
25. Huefner C.	4. Daniels D.
8. Kopa T.	3. Davidson S.
9. Rillie J.	5. Glover A.
13. Sam M.	10. Goodrick H.
24. Wagstaff J.	12. Morin Y.
33. Whitt J.	2. Ryan P.
Coaches
. Rillie J.	. King J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 2.

In recent outings, Perth has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Perth may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Perth in today's match, at odds of 2.07.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Perth has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1926:1909 (averaging 96.3:95.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Perth against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 1161:1095 goals (averaging 96.8:91.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Perth	6	4	2	547:564	0.667
9	South East Melbourne	8	3	5	772:751	0.375

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

South East Melbourne: 8.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Wildcats
Australian NBL
26.09.26	Perth Wildcats - New Zealand Breakers	97:93 ✺
24.09.26	Perth Wildcats - Adelaide 36ers	98:97 ✺
19.09.26	Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix	79:100 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
10.09.26	Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa - Perth Wildcats	82:110 ✺
08.09.26	Chiba Jets - Perth Wildcats	98:45
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL
- South East Melbourne Phoenix
Australian NBL
24.09.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United	61:86 ✺
21.09.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	96:91 ✺
19.09.26	Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix	79:100 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
08.09.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - New Zealand Breakers	100:103
Australian NBL
17.03.26	Adelaide 36ers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	108:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
19.09.26	Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix	79:100
04.03.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats	111:94
28.01.26	Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix	101:93
10.01.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats	97:107
18.12.25	Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix	76:77
01.11.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats	94:89
11.02.25	Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix	122:105

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